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Macroeconomics


Review: Bursting the Bubble
You may be scratching your head- we know bubbles exist; but maybe they don't or perhaps they need to be redefined?
Aug 262 min read


How Can Businesses Prepare for US Stagflation?
Its impossible to have perfect foresight into these issues: Will the Trump administration reverse course? Will the effect be small or large for an individual business? When exactly will the period of stagflation occur, if it does occur? Generally, we expect stagflation to occur though and I'd recommend your team develop preparations contingent on cases of varying magnitude to cover a variety of expected scenarios
Aug 103 min read


Reviewing Behavioral Finance The Second Generation
For what the book is trying to accomplish and the time period, this is great and the fundamental premise is relatively straightforward: the previous generation of finance saw normal human behaviors as irrational.
Jul 262 min read


Modelling Non-Linear Relationships in Excel
You should probably have a basic understanding of statistics before reading this article, but I go over the main points and you can view the file below.
Jul 243 min read


The US has a Weird Relationship with its Central Bank
Lower interest rates prompt more lending, and lending creates money, which leads to inflation (currency supply goes up, reducing demand per unit of supply, pushing currency value down).
Jul 222 min read


Comments on Alberta Premier's Economic Proposals
If Alberta were to separate, at the very least, there would be significant economic uncertainty that would likely translate to higher unemployment, capital flight, and so on. Additionally, they are not poised to separate in any way- there is no separate currency, no legal precedent, and no 'central bank of Alberta' (among other things you would need). In summary, its an extremely pointless proposal.
Jul 192 min read


Is Market Optimism Still Too High?
Analysts should consider themselves to have a duty to deliver on insights that don't just parrot the prevailing market opinion, but reflect their own professional views.
Jun 285 min read


Canadian Trade Update and More on the Housing Crisis
I go over the recent trade issues but switch to focus on housing in the second half.
Jun 223 min read


Cuts to the FDIC- Catastrophic?
Trump has been cutting the FDIC, its bad but how bad?
Jun 192 min read


Understanding Why the Central Bank Hasn't Cut Interest Rates to 2.5%
The Mundell-Fleming model helps answer questions about the central bank's activities and rate policy.
Jun 172 min read


Review of the US Tariff Situation
Reviewing the last few months' tariff situation and some quick projections for the future.
Jun 163 min read
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